SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 49.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 23.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Penarol |
23.91% ( -0.18) | 26.65% ( -0.02) | 49.44% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 46.02% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.23% ( -0.08) | 57.77% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.49% ( -0.07) | 78.51% ( 0.06) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.14% ( -0.22) | 39.86% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.47% ( -0.2) | 76.53% ( 0.2) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.53% ( 0.05) | 23.47% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.52% ( 0.08) | 57.48% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Penarol |
| 1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.37% Total : 23.91% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 13.56% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.06)1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 49.44% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
