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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Aug 29, 2022 at 10pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
CL

River Plate
0 - 5
Cerro Largo


Gianoli (64'), Tizon (71'), Silva (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Borbas (7'), Lopez (19'), Ocampo (45+1'), Cruz De los Santos (74'), Ergas (89' og.)
Montiel (50'), Borbas (53')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Cerro Largo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fenix 1-2 River Plate
Saturday, August 20 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerrito 0-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, August 20 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 35.92%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.31%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (12.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawCerro Largo
34.48% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05) 29.6% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06) 35.92% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Both teams to score 43.18% (0.167 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.15% (0.198 0.2)63.85% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.92% (0.14 0.14)83.08% (-0.14 -0.14)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.23% (0.072999999999993 0.07)34.77% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.5% (0.075999999999997 0.08)71.5% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.2% (0.181 0.18)33.8% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.54% (0.195 0.2)70.46% (-0.193 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 34.47%
    Cerro Largo 35.91%
    Draw 29.6%
River PlateDrawCerro Largo
1-0 @ 12.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.11% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.56% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.51% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.36% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 34.47%
1-1 @ 13.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.75% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.6%
0-1 @ 12.74% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.91% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.5% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 35.91%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Fenix 1-2 River Plate
Saturday, August 20 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 1-2 River Plate
Friday, August 12 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Plaza Colonia
Saturday, August 6 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 1-2 River Plate
Sunday, July 31 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-0 River Plate
Monday, July 25 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Defensor
Thursday, July 21 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerrito 0-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, August 20 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 2-0 Cerro Largo
Friday, August 12 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 1-1 Wanderers
Saturday, August 6 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 1-2 Torque
Sunday, July 31 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-0 River Plate
Monday, July 25 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 2-0 Cerro Largo
Wednesday, July 20 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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