Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Penarol | 27 | 10 | 45 |
5 | River Plate | 26 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Deportivo Maldonado | 27 | 4 | 42 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Plaza Colonia | 27 | -6 | 25 |
14 | Cerro Largo | 26 | -19 | 23 |
15 | Rentistas | 27 | -20 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 35.92%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.31%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (12.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.
Result | ||
River Plate | Draw | Cerro Largo |
34.48% ( -0.05) | 29.6% ( -0.06) | 35.92% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 43.18% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.15% ( 0.2) | 63.85% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.92% ( 0.14) | 83.08% ( -0.14) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.23% ( 0.07) | 34.77% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.5% ( 0.08) | 71.5% ( -0.08) |
Cerro Largo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.2% ( 0.18) | 33.8% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.54% ( 0.2) | 70.46% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
River Plate | Draw | Cerro Largo |
1-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 34.47% | 1-1 @ 13.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.6% | 0-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 35.91% |
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