SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 20.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Montevideo City Torque win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
53.52% ( -0.01) | 25.93% ( 0.01) | 20.55% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 44.16% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.81% ( -0.03) | 58.19% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.16% ( -0.03) | 78.84% ( 0.02) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% ( -0.02) | 21.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.92% ( -0.03) | 55.08% ( 0.02) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.51% ( -0.02) | 43.49% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.3% ( -0.02) | 79.7% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Penarol | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 14.45% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.57% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 53.52% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0)Other @ 0.58% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.98% Total : 20.55% |
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