SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
29.49% ( -0.77) | 26.94% ( -0.21) | 43.56% ( 0.98) |
| Both teams to score 49.31% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.41% ( 0.48) | 55.59% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.25% ( 0.4) | 76.75% ( -0.39) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.03% ( -0.32) | 33.97% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.35% ( -0.35) | 70.65% ( 0.35) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.68% ( 0.73) | 25.32% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.9% ( 0.98) | 60.1% ( -0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 29.49% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.33% Total : 43.56% |
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