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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 46.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.23%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Montevideo City Torque win it was 1-0 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
26.07% ( -0.22) | 27.67% ( 0.03) | 46.25% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 45.13% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.13% ( -0.2) | 59.87% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.86% ( -0.16) | 80.14% ( 0.16) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.92% ( -0.3) | 39.08% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.2% ( -0.29) | 75.8% ( 0.29) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% ( 0) | 25.91% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.1% ( 0.01) | 60.9% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.49% Total : 26.07% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 13.67% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.05% Total : 46.25% |
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