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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
29.71% ( -0.85) | 24.2% ( -0.13) | 46.09% ( 0.97) |
| Both teams to score 58.23% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.96% ( 0.14) | 44.03% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.58% ( 0.14) | 66.42% ( -0.14) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.11% ( -0.49) | 27.88% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.5% ( -0.63) | 63.49% ( 0.63) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.74% ( 0.47) | 19.26% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.02% ( 0.77) | 50.98% ( -0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 2-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.71% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 4% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.19% Total : 46.09% |
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