SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 87.81%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 3.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.06%) and 0-4 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.12%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | The New Saints |
3.51% ( -0.19) | 8.67% ( -0.37) | 87.81% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 40.41% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.27% ( 0.96) | 27.72% ( -0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.6% ( 1.19) | 48.4% ( -1.19) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.12% ( -0.1) | 57.87% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.47% ( -0.06) | 89.53% ( 0.06) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.93% ( 0.25) | 4.07% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.9% ( 0.78) | 17.09% ( -0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | The New Saints |
| 1-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.1% Total : 3.51% | 1-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.39% Total : 8.67% | 0-3 @ 12.88% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 12.06% ( -0.25)0-4 @ 10.31% ( 0.18)0-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 7.05% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 6.6% ( 0.23)1-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 5.64% ( 0.08)1-5 @ 3.61% ( 0.12)0-6 @ 3.53% ( 0.19)1-6 @ 1.93% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)0-7 @ 1.61% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.99% Total : 87.8% |
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