SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
44.82% ( -0.58) | 25.45% ( -0.05) | 29.73% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 54.05% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.48% ( 0.52) | 49.51% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.45% ( 0.47) | 71.54% ( -0.47) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( -0.05) | 22.06% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.59% ( -0.07) | 55.41% ( 0.07) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.35% ( 0.72) | 30.65% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.11% ( 0.85) | 66.89% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 44.81% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.73% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
