SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
48.66% ( -0.47) | 24.63% ( -0.03) | 26.71% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 54.58% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.16% ( 0.52) | 47.84% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.98% ( 0.48) | 70.02% ( -0.47) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.29% ( 0.02) | 19.71% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.29% ( 0.02) | 51.72% ( -0.02) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.97% ( 0.68) | 32.03% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.5% ( 0.77) | 68.5% ( -0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.94% Total : 48.66% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.67% Total : 26.71% |
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