Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 57.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 18.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay Nomads	Draw	Cardiff MU
57.07% ( 0)	24.16% ( 0)	18.77% ( -0)

Both teams to score 46.32% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.1% (

-0.01)

53.9% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.64% (

-0.01)

75.35% (

0.01)

Connah's Quay Nomads Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.26% (

-0)

18.74% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.88% (

-0.01)

50.12% (

0.01)

Cardiff MU Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.01% (

-0.01)

42.99% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.72% (

-0.01)

79.28% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Connah's Quay Nomads 57.06%

Cardiff MU 18.77%

Draw 24.15%

Connah's Quay Nomads	Draw	Cardiff MU
1-0 @ 13.49% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.31% 3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.06% Total : 57.06%	1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.15%	0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.81% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.87% 1-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.81% Total : 18.77%