SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 21.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Bala Town win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Bala Town |
55.32% ( -0.28) | 23.06% ( 0.18) | 21.61% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.92% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.01% ( -0.66) | 45.99% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.7% ( -0.63) | 68.29% ( 0.62) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.52% ( -0.33) | 16.48% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.8% ( -0.6) | 46.19% ( 0.6) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.56% ( -0.27) | 35.44% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.79% ( -0.29) | 72.2% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Bala Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.24% Total : 55.32% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.06% | 0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 21.61% |
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