Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 23.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
