Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
