Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
