SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Newtown AFC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Cardiff MU |
43.31% ( 0.71) | 23.88% ( 0.31) | 32.81% ( -1.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.92% ( -1.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.82% ( -1.79) | 41.18% ( 1.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.42% ( -1.85) | 63.57% ( 1.85) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.72% ( -0.43) | 19.28% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.98% ( -0.71) | 51.01% ( 0.72) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.46% ( -1.43) | 24.53% ( 1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.99% ( -2.05) | 59.01% ( 2.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.52)2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.27% Total : 43.31% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.38)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.81% |
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