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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 1
Cardiff MU

Lock (27'), Hughes (75')
Lock (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Reynolds (90+2')
Veale (65')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newtown 1-0 Briton Ferry
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 0-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Newtown AFC in this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
43.31% (0.713 0.71) 23.88% (0.305 0.31) 32.81% (-1.014 -1.01)
Both teams to score 60.92% (-1.486 -1.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.82% (-1.793 -1.79)41.18% (1.797 1.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.42% (-1.848 -1.85)63.57% (1.854 1.85)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.72% (-0.429 -0.43)19.28% (0.434 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.98% (-0.714 -0.71)51.01% (0.718 0.72)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.46% (-1.427 -1.43)24.53% (1.432 1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.99% (-2.052 -2.05)59.01% (2.055 2.06)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 43.31%
    Cardiff MU 32.81%
    Draw 23.88%
Newtown AFCDrawCardiff MU
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.121 0.12)
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.52 0.52)
2-0 @ 6.41% (0.345 0.35)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.144 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 43.31%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.182 -0.18)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.376 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.143 -0.14)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 7.69% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-1 @ 6.65% (0.266 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.209 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.095 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.81%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Newtown 1-0 Briton Ferry
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 3-0 Newtown
Friday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Barry 1-2 Newtown
Monday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-4 Caernarfon
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-0 Newtown
Friday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 4-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 0-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-2 Cardiff MU
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-0 Haverfordwest
Monday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Briton Ferry 1-5 Cardiff MU
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-1 Barry
Friday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Flint Town 1-2 Cardiff MU
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League


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