SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
20.54% ( -0) | 24.13% ( -0.02) | 55.32% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.1% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.37% ( 0.09) | 51.63% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.58% ( 0.08) | 73.42% ( -0.08) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.28% ( 0.05) | 39.72% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.6% ( 0.05) | 76.39% ( -0.05) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.46% ( 0.04) | 18.54% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.21% ( 0.07) | 49.79% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 1-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.29% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.14% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.63% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.35% Total : 20.54% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.12% | 0-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.45% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.87% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.48% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 55.32% |
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