Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 92.03%. A draw had a probability of 6% and a win for Druids had a probability of 1.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.24%) and 2-0 (11.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.85%), while for a Druids win it was 0-1 (0.8%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.
