Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 94.57%. A draw had a probability of 4.4% and a win for Druids had a probability of 1.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 3-0 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (14.24%) and 2-0 (12.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.01%), while for a Druids win it was 0-1 (0.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.
