Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 81.3%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Druids had a probability of 6.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.37%) and 1-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.86%), while for a Druids win it was 0-1 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.
