Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 74.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Druids had a probability of 10%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.61%) and 0-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.52%), while for a Druids win it was 1-0 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
