SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 62.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 16.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
16.51% ( -0.01) | 20.63% | 62.86% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.88% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.1% | 42.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.7% | 65.3% ( 0) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.81% ( -0.01) | 39.19% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.1% ( -0.01) | 75.9% ( 0.01) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.96% ( 0) | 13.04% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.4% ( 0.01) | 39.6% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 1-0 @ 4.79% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.57% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.24% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 16.51% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.63% | 0-2 @ 10.6% 0-1 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-3 @ 7.2% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.75% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.67% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.44% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.16% 2-4 @ 1.61% 0-5 @ 1.49% 1-5 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.21% Total : 62.85% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
