Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 81.57%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 6.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.72%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.87%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
81.57% ( 0.07) | 12.36% ( -0.04) | 6.06% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 44.15% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.04% ( 0) | 33.96% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.18% ( 0) | 55.82% ( -0) |
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.69% ( 0.02) | 6.31% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.26% ( 0.04) | 23.74% ( -0.04) |
Haverfordwest County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.13% ( -0.12) | 52.87% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.43% ( -0.07) | 86.56% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
2-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.16% ( -0) 5-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.85% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 81.56% | 1-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.34% 2-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.57% Total : 12.36% | 0-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 6.06% |
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