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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 19, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
1 - 2
Haverfordwest

Harrington (30')
Edwards (21'), Morris (86'), Wilde (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Tabone (23'), Fawcett (32')
Tabone (40'), Taylor-Crossdale (75'), Watts (90+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff MU 3-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 5-0 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 81.57%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 6.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.72%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.87%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawHaverfordwest County
81.57% (0.072999999999993 0.07) 12.36% (-0.035 -0.04) 6.06% (-0.037 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.15% (-0.104 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.04% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.96% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.18% (0.0020000000000024 0)55.82% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.69% (0.015999999999991 0.02)6.31% (-0.0141 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.26% (0.040999999999997 0.04)23.74% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.13% (-0.117 -0.12)52.87% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.43% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)86.56% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 81.56%
    Haverfordwest County 6.06%
    Draw 12.36%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawHaverfordwest County
2-0 @ 12.73% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 11.72% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 8.1% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 4.48% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.85% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-0 @ 2.06% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.006 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 81.56%
1-1 @ 5.87% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.34%
2-2 @ 2.59% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 12.36%
0-1 @ 2.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 6.06%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cardiff MU 3-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 6-1 Caernarfon
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 0-3 Connah's Quay
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-1 Bala Town
Wednesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-1 Connah's Quay
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 4-2 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, September 30 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 5-0 Colwyn Bay
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 1-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 2-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 3-2 Pen-y-Bont
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 2-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, October 7 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 3-0 Aberystwyth
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League


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