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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
28.09% ( 0.07) | 25.56% ( 0.01) | 46.35% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.68% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.17% ( 0.01) | 50.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.28% ( 0.01) | 72.71% ( -0.01) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.46% ( 0.06) | 32.53% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.93% ( 0.07) | 69.07% ( -0.07) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.08% ( -0.03) | 21.92% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.81% ( -0.05) | 55.19% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 28.09% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 46.35% |
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