SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 64.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 15.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
64.6% ( 0.44) | 20.34% ( -0.1) | 15.06% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 50.48% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.6% ( -0.24) | 44.4% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.23% ( -0.23) | 66.77% ( 0.23) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.01% ( 0.06) | 12.99% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.49% ( 0.11) | 39.51% ( -0.11) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.02% ( -0.61) | 41.98% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.58% ( -0.53) | 78.42% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 2-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 6.71% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 64.59% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.34% | 0-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.63% Total : 15.06% |
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