SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Cardiff MU |
35.06% ( 1.36) | 25.57% ( -0.08) | 39.37% ( -1.28) |
| Both teams to score 55.58% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.61% ( 0.59) | 48.39% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.47% ( 0.54) | 70.53% ( -0.54) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.36% ( 1.11) | 26.64% ( -1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.13% ( 1.44) | 61.87% ( -1.44) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.75% ( -0.4) | 24.24% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.4% ( -0.56) | 58.6% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pontypridd Town AFC | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.17% Total : 35.06% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.31)1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 39.37% |
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