Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 75.73%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 9.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 1-2 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
Result | ||
The New Saints | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
75.73% ( 4.02) | 14.81% ( -1.62) | 9.46% ( -2.4) |
Both teams to score 52.36% ( -2.97) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.15% ( 0.69) | 32.85% ( -0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.45% ( 0.79) | 54.56% ( -0.78) |
The New Saints Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.78% ( 1) | 7.22% ( -0.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.8% ( 2.55) | 26.2% ( -2.55) |
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.43% ( -3.85) | 43.57% ( 3.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.23% ( -3.38) | 79.77% ( 3.38) |
Score Analysis |
The New Saints | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
2-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.68) 3-0 @ 9.52% ( 1.03) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.38) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.95) 4-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.3) 5-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.64) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.33) 5-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.28) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.34) 6-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.18) 5-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 75.72% | 1-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.66) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.59) 0-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.14% Total : 14.81% | 1-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.62) 0-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.4) 0-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.3) Other @ 1.87% Total : 9.46% |
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