SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
55.06% ( -0) | 22.98% ( -0) | 21.95% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 54.66% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.76% ( 0.01) | 45.24% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.42% ( 0.01) | 67.58% ( -0.01) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.7% ( 0) | 16.3% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.13% ( 0.01) | 45.87% ( -0.01) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.3% ( 0.01) | 34.7% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.57% ( 0.01) | 71.43% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.85% 2-0 @ 9.31% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.63% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.55% 4-2 @ 1.43% 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.33% Total : 55.05% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.99% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.17% 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.06% Total : 21.95% |
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