SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
20.03% ( 0.02) | 23.62% ( 0.01) | 56.35% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.76% ( -0.02) | 50.23% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.81% ( -0.01) | 72.19% ( 0.02) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.53% ( 0.02) | 39.46% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.84% ( 0.01) | 76.16% ( -0.01) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.35% ( -0.02) | 17.64% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.75% ( -0.03) | 48.25% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberystwyth Town | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 1-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.22% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.01% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.62% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0)3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.37% Total : 20.03% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0)Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.62% | 0-1 @ 12.07% 0-2 @ 10.47% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.06% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.63% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.44% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 56.33% |
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