Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 68.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 13.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
