Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 81.72%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 6.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.64%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-2 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
The New Saints	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
81.72%	11.99%	6.29%

Both teams to score 47.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.24%

30.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.89%

52.11%

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.35%

5.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.13%

21.86%

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.26%

49.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.52%

84.47%

Score Analysis

The New Saints 81.72%

Pen-y-Bont 6.29%

Draw 11.99%

The New Saints	Draw	Pen-y-Bont
2-0 @ 11.6% 3-0 @ 11.12% 2-1 @ 8.1% 1-0 @ 8.07% 4-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 7.77% 4-1 @ 5.59% 5-0 @ 4.6% 5-1 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.71% 6-0 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 1.95% 6-1 @ 1.54% 5-2 @ 1.12% 7-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.23% Total : 81.72%	1-1 @ 5.64% 2-2 @ 2.83% 0-0 @ 2.81% Other @ 0.72% Total : 11.99%	1-2 @ 1.97% 0-1 @ 1.96% Other @ 2.36% Total : 6.29%