SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brazil in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brazil.
| Result | ||
| Brazil | Draw | Colombia |
55.97% ( 0.9) | 24.56% ( -0.24) | 19.46% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 46.29% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.46% ( 0.1) | 54.54% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.11% ( 0.08) | 75.88% ( -0.08) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.6% ( 0.39) | 19.4% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.79% ( 0.64) | 51.21% ( -0.64) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.43% ( -0.68) | 42.57% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.07% ( -0.59) | 78.92% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brazil | Draw | Colombia |
| 1-0 @ 13.54% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.23)2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 55.96% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.9% Total : 19.46% |
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