SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 58.49%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 17.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Brazil | Draw | Uruguay |
58.49% ( -0.49) | 24.03% ( 0.1) | 17.47% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 44.5% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.86% ( 0.16) | 55.13% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.61% ( 0.13) | 76.38% ( -0.13) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.33% ( -0.12) | 18.67% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50% ( -0.21) | 50% ( 0.21) |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.72% ( 0.59) | 45.28% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.84% ( 0.46) | 81.15% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brazil | Draw | Uruguay |
| 1-0 @ 14.18% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 11.9% ( -0.17)2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.99% Total : 58.48% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.51% Total : 17.47% |
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