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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 11, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
BN

Paraguay
1 - 0
Brazil

Gomez (20')
Bobadilla (45'), Gomez (45'), Alonso (70'), Almiron (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Paqueta (45+5'), Junior (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uruguay 0-0 Paraguay
Saturday, September 7 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Brazil 1-0 Ecuador
Saturday, September 7 at 2am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Paraguay 0-2 Brazil

Brazil have been frustrated by a number of draws in Dorival's short time in charge, but we do not expect that to be an issue in Tuesday's contest because we believe that the visitors will showcase their extra quality to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 58.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 16.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.52%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Paraguay win it was 1-0 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
ParaguayDrawBrazil
16.59% (-0.363 -0.36) 24.5% (-0.115 -0.11) 58.92% (0.483 0.48)
Both teams to score 41.73% (-0.35 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.04% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)57.96% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.34% (-0.073 -0.07)78.66% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.9% (-0.532 -0.53)48.11% (0.535 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.69% (-0.393 -0.39)83.31% (0.396 0.4)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.42% (0.151 0.15)19.59% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.48% (0.242 0.24)51.52% (-0.238 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Paraguay 16.59%
    Brazil 58.92%
    Draw 24.49%
ParaguayDrawBrazil
1-0 @ 6.89% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 4.11% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 2.52% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 16.59%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.42% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.35% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 15.36% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 12.52% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.81% (0.117 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.98% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.77% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.03% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-5 @ 0.91% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 58.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Uruguay 0-0 Paraguay
Saturday, September 7 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Costa Rica 2-1 Paraguay
Wednesday, July 3 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Paraguay 1-4 Brazil
Saturday, June 29 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Paraguay
Monday, June 24 at 11pm in Copa America
Last Game: Panama 0-1 Paraguay
Sunday, June 16 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Chile 3-0 Paraguay
Wednesday, June 12 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Brazil 1-0 Ecuador
Saturday, September 7 at 2am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Uruguay 0-0 Brazil (4-2 pen.)
Sunday, July 7 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Brazil 1-1 Colombia
Wednesday, July 3 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Paraguay 1-4 Brazil
Saturday, June 29 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Brazil 0-0 Costa Rica
Tuesday, June 25 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: USA 1-1 Brazil
Thursday, June 13 at 12am in International Friendlies


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