SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 73.62%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Peru had a probability of 8.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.84%) and 3-0 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brazil | Draw | Peru |
73.62% ( -0.45) | 17.92% ( 0.19) | 8.46% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 37.12% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.37% ( 0) | 50.62% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.46% | 72.53% ( -0.01) |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.73% ( -0.13) | 12.26% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62% ( -0.27) | 37.99% ( 0.26) |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.31% ( 0.61) | 57.69% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.57% ( 0.33) | 89.42% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brazil | Draw | Peru |
| 2-0 @ 15.57% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 14.84% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.17)2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.5% Total : 73.6% | 1-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0)2-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.33% Total : 17.92% | 0-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.25% Total : 8.46% |
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