SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Thailand | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Oman | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Australia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Syria | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | India | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.84%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kyrgyzstan | Draw | Uzbekistan |
19.7% ( -0.1) | 24.14% ( -0.01) | 56.16% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 47.83% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.33% ( -0.1) | 52.67% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.69% ( -0.08) | 74.31% ( 0.08) |
| Kyrgyzstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.77% ( -0.17) | 41.23% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.24% ( -0.15) | 77.76% ( 0.16) |
| Uzbekistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.39% ( 0.01) | 18.62% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.09% ( 0.01) | 49.91% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kyrgyzstan | Draw | Uzbekistan |
| 1-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 19.7% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.14% | 0-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 10.84% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.08% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.39% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.26% 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 56.15% |
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