SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solomon Islands win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Papua New Guinea had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solomon Islands win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Papua New Guinea win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Solomon Islands in this match.
| Result | ||
| Papua New Guinea | Draw | Solomon Islands |
25.67% ( -0.52) | 23.39% ( 0.21) | 50.94% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 57.74% ( -1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.79% ( -1.42) | 43.21% ( 1.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.39% ( -1.42) | 65.61% ( 1.42) |
| Papua New Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.6% ( -1.16) | 30.39% ( 1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.41% ( -1.4) | 66.59% ( 1.4) |
| Solomon Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.96% ( -0.41) | 17.04% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.8% ( -0.74) | 47.2% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Papua New Guinea | Draw | Solomon Islands |
| 2-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 3.67% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.01% Total : 25.67% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.44)0-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 5.7% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.09)Other @ 4% Total : 50.94% |
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