SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.34%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Paraguay win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paraguay | Draw | Argentina |
18.97% ( -0.18) | 24.58% ( 1.01) | 56.45% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 45.5% ( -3.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.83% ( -4.03) | 55.17% ( 4.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.59% ( -3.42) | 76.41% ( 3.43) |
| Paraguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.5% ( -2.54) | 43.5% ( 2.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.29% ( -2.19) | 79.71% ( 2.2) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.54% ( -1.82) | 19.46% ( 1.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.69% ( -3.07) | 51.31% ( 3.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paraguay | Draw | Argentina |
| 1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.2)Other @ 1.77% Total : 18.97% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 1.24)2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.4)Other @ 0.65% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 13.85% ( 1.32) 0-2 @ 11.34% ( 0.47)1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0.27)0-3 @ 6.19% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.47)0-4 @ 2.53% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.36)1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.33)Other @ 3.69% Total : 56.44% |
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