SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 80.67%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 6.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.95%) and 1-0 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.22%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Bolivia |
80.67% ( 0.51) | 13.09% ( -0.33) | 6.23% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 42.13% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.93% ( 0.9) | 37.07% ( -0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.73% ( 0.96) | 59.26% ( -0.97) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.86% ( 0.3) | 7.14% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.02% ( 0.79) | 25.98% ( -0.79) |
| Bolivia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.37% ( 0.09) | 54.63% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.34% ( 0.05) | 87.66% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentina | Draw | Bolivia |
| 2-0 @ 13.58% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.29)2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.15)5-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.04)6-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.49% Total : 80.66% | 1-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.49% Total : 13.09% | 0-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.99% Total : 6.23% |
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