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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium
KN

Qatar
vs.
Kyrgyzstan

 
FT

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: North Korea 2-2 Qatar
Tuesday, September 10 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Iran vs. Qatar
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 2-3 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, September 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Kyrgyzstan vs. North Korea
Tuesday, October 15 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Qatar 3-1 Kyrgyzstan

While Kyrgyzstan have proven to be difficult opponents in their first two AFC third round qualifying fixtures, Qatar are the stronger side coming into the game and will be desperate for their first victory, leading us to believe the hosts will win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 63.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 15.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
QatarDrawKyrgyzstan
63.57% (-3.778 -3.78) 21.12% (1.633 1.63) 15.31% (2.151 2.15)
Both teams to score 48.56% (0.297 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.73% (-2.539 -2.54)47.27% (2.545 2.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.5% (-2.404 -2.4)69.5% (2.412 2.41)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.8% (-1.891 -1.89)14.2% (1.897 1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.07% (-3.831 -3.83)41.93% (3.837 3.84)
Kyrgyzstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.61% (1.564 1.56)43.39% (-1.558 -1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.38% (1.277 1.28)79.62% (-1.271 -1.27)
Score Analysis
    Qatar 63.56%
    Kyrgyzstan 15.31%
    Draw 21.11%
QatarDrawKyrgyzstan
1-0 @ 12.03% (0.44 0.44)
2-0 @ 11.73% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 7.64% (-0.841 -0.84)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.404 -0.4)
4-0 @ 3.73% (-0.714 -0.71)
4-1 @ 3.11% (-0.44 -0.44)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.45% (-0.406 -0.41)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.121 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.273 -0.27)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 63.56%
1-1 @ 10.04% (0.773 0.77)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.631 0.63)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.209 0.21)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 21.11%
0-1 @ 5.15% (0.722 0.72)
1-2 @ 4.19% (0.487 0.49)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.38 0.38)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.179 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 15.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: North Korea 2-2 Qatar
Tuesday, September 10 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Qatar 1-3 UAE
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Qatar 2-1 India
Tuesday, June 11 at 4.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Afghanistan 0-0 Qatar
Thursday, June 6 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Kuwait 1-2 Qatar
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Qatar 3-0 Kuwait
Thursday, March 21 at 6.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 2-3 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, September 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Iran 1-0 Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Oman 1-1 Kyrgyzstan
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 1-1 Malaysia
Thursday, June 6 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 5-1 Chinese Taipei
Tuesday, March 26 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Chinese Taipei 0-2 Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, March 21 at 8am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia


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