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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 15, 2024 at 5pm UK
Yadegar-e-Emam Stadium
QN

Iran
vs.
Qatar

 
FT

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Uzbekistan 0-0 Iran
Thursday, October 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: North Korea vs. Iran
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
Last Game: Qatar 3-1 Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Qatar vs. Uzbekistan
Thursday, November 14 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Iran 1-0 Qatar

Back on home soil following a clean sheet in Uzbekistan, Iran should be confident of recording a third win of their Group A campaign on Tuesday night. Qatar were too good for Kyrgyzstan but face a much sterner test at Rashid Stadium, one which we feel that the Maroons will narrowly fail. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Iran win with a probability of 50.71%. A draw has a probability of 25% and a win for Qatar has a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Qatar win it is 0-1 (7.43%).

Result
IranDrawQatar
50.71% (-2.979 -2.98) 24.99% (1.056 1.06) 24.3% (1.922 1.92)
Both teams to score 51.17% (-1.034 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.76% (-2.461 -2.46)51.23% (2.461 2.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.93% (-2.194 -2.19)73.07% (2.193 2.19)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (-2.122 -2.12)20.21% (2.121 2.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.47% (-3.508 -3.51)52.52% (3.507 3.51)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.13% (0.399 0.4)35.87% (-0.4 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.35% (0.405 0.4)72.65% (-0.40600000000001 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Iran 50.71%
    Qatar 24.3%
    Draw 24.98%
IranDrawQatar
1-0 @ 11.59% (0.38 0.38)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.225 -0.23)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.323 -0.32)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.479 -0.48)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.527 -0.53)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.216 -0.22)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.345 -0.35)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.362 -0.36)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 50.71%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.51 0.51)
0-0 @ 7.25% (0.688 0.69)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.43% (0.779 0.78)
1-2 @ 6.09% (0.323 0.32)
0-2 @ 3.81% (0.436 0.44)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.161 0.16)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Uzbekistan 0-0 Iran
Thursday, October 10 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: UAE 0-1 Iran
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Iran 1-0 Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Iran 0-0 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, June 11 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Hong Kong 2-4 Iran
Thursday, June 6 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Turkmenistan 0-1 Iran
Tuesday, March 26 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Qatar 3-1 Kyrgyzstan
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: North Korea 2-2 Qatar
Tuesday, September 10 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Qatar 1-3 UAE
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Qatar 2-1 India
Tuesday, June 11 at 4.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Afghanistan 0-0 Qatar
Thursday, June 6 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Kuwait 1-2 Qatar
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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