Current Third Round Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Uzbekistan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | North Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Kyrgyzstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Current Third Round Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Uzbekistan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | North Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Kyrgyzstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Qatar win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Qatar | Draw | Uzbekistan |
29.22% ( -8.18) | 26.59% ( 0.3) | 44.19% ( 7.88) |
Both teams to score 50.2% ( -3.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.63% ( -2.93) | 54.37% ( 2.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.25% ( -2.5) | 75.75% ( 2.5) |
Qatar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.46% ( -6.82) | 33.54% ( 6.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.82% ( -8.2) | 70.18% ( 8.19) |
Uzbekistan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.53% ( 2.89) | 24.46% ( -2.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.09% ( 3.9) | 58.91% ( -3.9) |
Score Analysis |
Qatar | Draw | Uzbekistan |
1-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.68) 2-1 @ 6.89% ( -1.36) 2-0 @ 4.9% ( -1.47) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( -1.12) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -1.02) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.59) Other @ 2.4% Total : 29.22% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.9) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.5) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 11.55% ( 2.08) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.78) 0-2 @ 8.13% ( 1.99) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.67) 0-3 @ 3.82% ( 1.16) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.33) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.48) Other @ 2.54% Total : 44.19% |
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