SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 36.19%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 1-0 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Argentina in this match.
| Result | ||
| Uruguay | Draw | Argentina |
35.45% ( 0.88) | 28.36% ( 0.15) | 36.19% ( -1.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.72% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.43% ( -0.5) | 59.57% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.09% ( -0.38) | 79.9% ( 0.38) |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.12% ( 0.32) | 31.88% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.68% ( 0.37) | 68.32% ( -0.37) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.59% ( -0.89) | 31.41% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.22% ( -1.05) | 67.78% ( 1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uruguay | Draw | Argentina |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 35.45% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.35% | 0-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.95% Total : 36.18% |
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