Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 84.47%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Peru had a probability of 4.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.43%) and 1-0 (10.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.24%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (1.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Argentina | Draw | Peru |
84.47% (![]() | 11.12% (![]() | 4.41% (![]() |
Both teams to score 37.07% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.76% (![]() | 36.24% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.64% (![]() | 58.36% (![]() |
Argentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.81% (![]() | 6.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.6% (![]() | 23.41% (![]() |
Peru Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
39.52% (![]() | 60.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
9.11% (![]() | 90.89% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Argentina | Draw | Peru |
2-0 @ 14.48% (![]() 3-0 @ 13.43% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 10.41% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 9.35% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.76% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 5.2% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.7% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.75% Total : 84.45% | 1-1 @ 5.24% (![]() 0-0 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 1.83% ( ![]() Other @ 0.31% Total : 11.12% | 0-1 @ 1.88% (![]() 1-2 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 1.21% Total : 4.41% |
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