SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 84.47%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Peru had a probability of 4.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.43%) and 1-0 (10.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.24%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (1.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Peru |
84.47% ( -0.07) | 11.12% ( 0.01) | 4.41% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 37.07% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.76% ( 0.23) | 36.24% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.64% ( 0.24) | 58.36% ( -0.25) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.81% ( 0.03) | 6.19% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.6% ( 0.09) | 23.41% ( -0.09) |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.52% ( 0.38) | 60.48% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.11% ( 0.19) | 90.89% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentina | Draw | Peru |
| 2-0 @ 14.48% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 13.43% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 2.41% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)7-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 84.45% | 1-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.31% Total : 11.12% | 0-1 @ 1.88% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.21% Total : 4.41% |
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