Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 64.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 15.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Dynamo Dresden win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
