Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Vaasan Palloseura	Draw	Gnistan
42.75%	23.72%	33.54%

Both teams to score 61.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.85%

40.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.48%

62.52%

Vaasan Palloseura Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.9%

19.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.29%

50.71%

Gnistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.37%

23.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.29%

57.71%

Score Analysis

Vaasan Palloseura 42.75%

Gnistan 33.54%

Draw 23.71%

Vaasan Palloseura	Draw	Gnistan
2-1 @ 8.92% 1-0 @ 7.47% 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 4.92% 3-2 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.04% 4-2 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.36% Total : 42.75%	1-1 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 6.44% 0-0 @ 4.51% 3-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.71%	1-2 @ 7.78% 0-1 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 4.7% 1-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 3.1% 0-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3% Total : 33.54%