SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (5.56%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
40.04% ( 0.09) | 23.52% ( -0.04) | 36.43% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 63.2% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.41% ( 0.18) | 38.58% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.11% ( 0.19) | 60.88% ( -0.19) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.36% ( 0.12) | 19.63% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.4% ( 0.2) | 51.59% ( -0.19) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% ( 0.05) | 21.36% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.67% ( 0.08) | 54.33% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 40.04% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.19% 2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 36.43% |
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