Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Union had a probability of 16.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
