SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 42.19%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 28.67%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Talleres win it was 0-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Talleres |
42.19% ( -0.2) | 29.13% ( -0.03) | 28.67% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 42.91% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.54% ( 0.17) | 63.45% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.2% ( 0.12) | 82.79% ( -0.12) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.23% ( -0.03) | 29.77% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.16% ( -0.04) | 65.84% ( 0.04) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.1% ( 0.28) | 38.89% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.38% ( 0.27) | 75.62% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 14.02% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.41% Total : 42.18% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.12% | 0-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.53% Total : 28.66% |
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