SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Huracan had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Huracan win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Huracan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Huracan |
44.49% ( 0.04) | 26.75% ( 0.01) | 28.76% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.48% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.82% ( -0.06) | 55.18% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.58% ( -0.05) | 76.42% ( 0.05) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.32% ( -0.01) | 24.68% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.79% ( -0.01) | 59.21% ( 0.01) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.69% ( -0.08) | 34.31% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.99% ( -0.08) | 71.01% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | Huracan |
| 1-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.87% 2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 44.48% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 28.76% |
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