Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5

Jun 25, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
1 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Fernandez (88')
Cardona (27'), Gutierrez (39'), Soto (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Garayalde (90')
Gomez (25'), Ortega (49'), Garayalde (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Defensa y Justicia 0-2 Velez Sarsfield

Defensa y Justicia have certainly struggled so are and things look to only be getting worse. With renewed confidence from their three-point haul last time out, the visitors should have what it takes to outclass their hosts and leave with another triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
41.2% ( 0.04)	26.72% ( 0.01)	32.08% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 51.08% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.16% (

-0.05)

53.84% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.7% (

-0.04)

75.3% (

0.04)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.25% (

-0)

25.75% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.32% (

-0)

60.68% (

0.01)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.79% (

-0.06)

31.21% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.45% (

-0.07)

67.55% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 41.2%

Velez Sarsfield 32.08%

Draw 26.71%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 41.2%	1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.08%